The Corner

About Exit Polls

This is my fourth election in which these exits polls have trickled into an office where I’m working — and not once have they held up in their entirety. At mid-day, they may in fact point to a few trendlines, but we don’t know what they are until later because they also include some red herrings. An example: I remember in 1992 being told that Clinton was edging Bush in Virginia in the middle of the afternoon. This was of interest because several of my colleagues were Virginia voters. The final result was Bush 45 percent, Clinton 41 percent.

John J. Miller, the national correspondent for National Review and host of its Great Books podcast, is the director of the Dow Journalism Program at Hillsdale College. He is the author of A Gift of Freedom: How the John M. Olin Foundation Changed America.

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