The Corner

another encouraging generic number

More on the latest numbers JPod noted. 51-44 Dems in Gallup, down from 23 a month ago and 13 two weeks ago. More:

A Pew Research Center survey released Sunday also showed that an 11-point edge for Democrats on the congressional ballot two weeks ago had narrowed to 4 points among likely voters. “It’s gone from a slam-dunk for Democrats to take the House to a pretty good chance,” says Andy Kohut, director of the center…

[Back to Gallup] What’s shifted is the determination of Republicans to vote. The Democratic advantage among registered voters was 11 points, but Republican voters were more likely to be judged as sure to go to the polls, making the edge among likely voters smaller.

A month ago, the Democratic margin among registered and likely voters was identical.

Bush and other Republicans have warned about the perils of electing a Democratic-controlled Congress, and they also accused Kerry of belittling U.S. troops in Iraq with comments he said were a botched joke.

In the Pew survey, 84% of voters said they had heard about Kerry’s remark, and 18% of independent voters said it raised serious doubts about voting for a Democrat.


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