The Corner

Elections

Biden Is Losing to Trump — for Now

My latest New York Post column reviews how Joe Biden is, at least for now, losing to Donald Trump — and what may remain to change that:

The latest Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump leading by 2 to 8 points in each of six battleground states (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina), trailing Biden only in Wisconsin — and a pure head-to-head matchup has the two men tied in Wisconsin. Look at the RealClearPolitics poll averages, and the story is much the same: Trump leads Biden by less than a point in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and by 3 points or more in each of the other five big battlegrounds.

In states with a clear poll leader, Trump leads Biden 219-214 in the Electoral College. If you count every lead, no matter how thin, Trump wins by a lopsided 312-226, the biggest Electoral College margin since Barack Obama in 2012. . . . That would also mean Trump carrying eight states where Democrats are defending a Senate seat in November while losing none where Republicans are defending one.

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