The Corner

Law & the Courts

Democrats Drive Kavanaugh’s Weak Polling

Several polls have now found lower support for confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court than there was for confirming previous nominees. He is polling a bit worse than Neil Gorsuch did initially, for example.

Pew has a small 41-36 percent plurality for confirmation now, compared to a 44-32 percent split on Gorsuch.

The Morning Consult/Politico poll has a bigger margin, but shows a similar amount of slippage compared to the last nominee. It finds a 40-28 percent split in favor Kavanaugh and had a 43-25 percent plurality for Kavanaugh.

In both cases, the key change seems to be stronger opposition among Democratic voters. In Pew, a 27-point margin against confirming Gorsuch among these voters has become a 47-point margin against Kavanaugh. The Morning Consult/Politico poll found Democrats opposed to Gorsuch by a margin of 21 points and opposed to Kavanaugh by a margin of 33 points.

Ramesh Ponnuru is a senior editor for National Review, a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a senior fellow at the National Review Institute.


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