The Corner

Ca Predictions

K-Lo asks for predictions. Here’s mine:

The CA recall is starting to have the same feeling as Jesse Ventura’s late surge in 1998 in Minnesota (which none of the last-minute polls picked up). Between a predicted high turnout, surging GOP voter registration in recent weeks, and all the closing energy of the Arnold bus tour, I think we might even see a blowout. So I’ll go out on a limb an predict recall gets 57%, Arnold 44%; Cruz 36%; McClintock 14%, with the rest going to the other 130 nut jobs.

Steven F. Hayward is senior resident scholar at the Institute of Governmental Studies, and a lecturer in both the law school and the political science department, at the University of California at Berkeley.
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