The Corner

U.S.

Census Shifts

A delegate looks at an electoral map at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia, Pa., in 2016. (Charles Mostoller/Reuters)

New census data continue to confirm a voter exodus from blue states, and on today’s edition of The Editors, Rich asks Jim what consequences might arise from this.

“After the 2030 census, if these shifts in population are verified by the next round,” Jim says, “the Democrats in theory could win the blue wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. And if you have similar results to what we just saw in 2024, Democrats would lose the presidency.”


Jim points out that “this does appear to suggest that all of the criticisms of the blue-state model that conservatives have been making for a very long time now are really starting to be seen in the way that people are voting with their feet.

“Everything conservatives gripe about California also applies to places like Illinois and New York, New Jersey, [and] most of the New England states. And there’s this . . . frustrating observation that [the] progressive government in these places has now become repellent.”

Jim thinks that while this is positive news on the one hand, “on the other hand, you kind of start to wonder if some of these blue states or blue cities at least are in a doom loop where everybody who would vote to change the policies and get themselves in the right track have already moved away.”




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