The Corner

Columbus Dispatch Poll: Obama Just 2 Points Ahead in OH

A new poll of likely Ohio voters shows President Obama at 50 percent and Mitt Romney at 48 percent, leading the Columbus Dispatch to call the race a “toss-up.” The partisan breakdown is 40 percent Democrat, 36 percent Republican, and 21 percent independent. In case you haven’t memorized the 2004 and 2008 exit polls, that partisan breakdown is in-between the two most recent presidential years (although closer to ‘08 than ‘04): in 2008, Democrats had a +8 advantage and in 2004, Republicans has a +5 advantage. It also shows how important the partisan breakdown of the electorate is going to be: in yesterday’s Marist poll, the sample was +9 Democrat, and Romney was behind by 6 points.

However, Romney is leading in the area the Dispatch calls a “reliable barometer for the whole state”:

Obama’s lead is built on a 10-point advantage in heavily Democratic northeastern Ohio and a 5-point margin in central Ohio, regarded as a swing area this year. Romney rolls to a 23-point bulge in heavily Republican southwestern Ohio, a 17-point lead in western Ohio and a 4-point edge in northwestern Ohio, which in past elections has proved a reliable barometer for the whole state.

Katrina Trinko — Katrina Trinko is a political reporter for National Review. Trinko is also a member of USA TODAY’S Board of Contributors, and her work has been published in various media outlets ...

Most Popular

World

Ilhan Omar’s Big Lie

In a viral exchange at a congressional hearing last week, the new congresswoman from Minnesota, Ilhan Omar, who is quickly establishing herself as the most reprehensible member of the House Democratic freshman class despite stiff competition, launched into Elliott Abrams. She accused the former Reagan official ... Read More
U.S.

Questions for Those Who Believed Jussie Smollett

The “we reported the Jussie Smollett case responsibly” contention has been blasted to smithereens. Twitter accounts and headlines in the Washington Post, the New York Times, and the Los Angeles Times reported as fact Jussie Smollett’s wildly implausible allegations, and many other journalists did so as ... Read More
PC Culture

Fake Newspeople

This week, the story of the Jussie Smollett hoax gripped the national media. The story, for those who missed it, went something like this: The Empire actor, who is both black and gay, stated that on a freezing January night in Chicago, in the middle of the polar vortex, he went to a local Subway store to buy a ... Read More
U.S.

White Progressives Are Polarizing America

To understand how far left (and how quickly) the Democratic party has moved, let’s cycle back a very short 20 years. If 1998 Bill Clinton ran in the Democratic primary today, he’d be instantaneously labeled a far-right bigot. His support for the Religious Freedom Restoration Act, the Defense of Marriage Act, ... Read More