The Corner

Elections

Dean Heller Consolidates Lead against Democratic Challenger in Nevada Senate Race

Republican senator Dean Heller continues to pull away from his Democratic opponent in the Nevada Senate race, according to new polling out today from Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics. The survey, conducted online from October 12 to 18, showed Heller ahead of congresswoman Jacky Rosen 47-41 percent, with 4 percent of likely voters undecided.

The results line up with a mid-October Emerson poll, which put Heller ahead by seven points. Every poll of the race this month has given him a lead of at least two points. The last time Rosen led a poll was in late September, when a CNN survey put her up 47-43 percent.

The Reuters/Ipsos/UVA poll also found that immigration is the most important determining issue for a plurality of likely voters in Nevada (21 percent), followed by 16 percent who say health care is most important in determining their vote, and 12 percent who say the economy is most important.

Forty-three percent of likely voters said Heller is better on immigration, compared to 33 percent who said the same of Rosen. On health care, Rosen had the edge among likely voters, 39-35 percent, but on the economy, the Republican led her again, 41-33 percent.

Heller is the only Republican incumbent defending a Senate seat in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential race — although she did so by just 2.4 points. Rosen, meanwhile, has been in Congress for only one term, elected to represent Nevada’s third congressional district in 2016 by a mere 1.2 percent margin.

Six weeks ago, polling gave observers good reason to believe that Rosen was well within striking distance of Heller, making the Nevada seat perhaps the biggest pickup opportunity in the Senate for Democrats. Over the last month, that possibility has started to look far from certain, and in fact much less likely.

Most Popular

White House

The Trivialization of Impeachment

We have a serious governance problem. Our system is based on separation of powers, because liberty depends on preventing any component of the state from accumulating too much authority -- that’s how tyrants are born. For the system to work, the components have to be able to check each other: The federal and ... Read More
U.S.

‘Texodus’ Bodes Badly for Republicans

‘I am a classically trained engineer," says Representative Will Hurd, a Texas Republican, "and I firmly believe in regression to the mean." Applying a concept from statistics to the randomness of today's politics is problematic. In any case, Hurd, 42, is not waiting for the regression of our politics from the ... Read More
Elections

Put Up or Shut Up on These Accusations, Hillary

Look, one 2016 candidate being prone to wild and baseless accusations is enough. Appearing on Obama campaign manager David Plouffe’s podcast, Hillary Clinton suggested that 2016 Green Party candidate Jill Stein was a “Russian asset,” that Republicans and Russians were promoting the Green Party, and ... Read More
Culture

Feminists Have Turned on Pornography

Since the sexual revolution of the 1960s, the feminist movement has sought to condemn traditional sexual ethics as repressive, misogynistic, and intolerant. As the 2010s come to a close, it might be fair to say that mainstream culture has reached the logical endpoint of this philosophy. Whereas older Americans ... Read More
PC Culture

Defiant Dave Chappelle

When Dave Chappelle’s Netflix special Sticks & Stones came out in August, the overwhelming response from critics was that it was offensive, unacceptable garbage. Inkoo Kang of Slate declared that Chappelle’s “jokes make you wince.” Garrett Martin, in the online magazine Paste, maintained that the ... Read More