Bob Graham’s decision to quit his presidential campaign is bad news for the GOP because it means he’ll probably run for re-election to the Senate next year, and I doubt there’s a Republican in Florida who can beat him. A few months ago, it looked like the GOP was possibly headed for a really big year in the Senate, but the failure to recruit top candidates in Arkansas and Nevada–and what looks like a forthcoming Graham decision that will slam the door on another opportunity–means that picking up just a couple of seats is about the best Republicans can hope for. Losing seats isn’t out of the question, either.