The Corner

Greenberg’s Sample

A friend of mine (and NRO’s) writes:

“In 2000, 63 percent of Country Folk backed Bush. Yet today, only 58

percent support him”

This is totally statistically insignificant. You can’t break down

numbers inside a poll this way and presume that the poll maintains its

margin-of-error rules. The inside sample is simply too small. As a

result, you cannot argue from this that the Country Folk have turned on

Bush at all. It’s wishful thinking on Greenberg’s and Lizza’s parts.

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