The Corner

Huge Gender Gaps in Latest Iowa Caucus Poll — and a Big Turnout Is Coming

The respected Quinnipiac Poll is just out and shows Donald Trump holding a 31 percent to 24 percent lead over Ted Cruz in tonight’s caucus (Marco Rubio is at 17 percent). On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders has overtaken Hillary Clinton to lead 49 percent to 46 percent.

The gender gaps are stunning, according to Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown: “Men support Trump over Cruz 38–24 percent, while women are divided with 24 percent for Cruz and 23 percent for Trump.”

Among Democrats, Hillary is dominant with women, winning 56 percent to only 39 percent for Sanders. But the Vermont senator dominates males by a 63 percent to 32 percent margin.

The biggest surprise of the night may be that if Quinnipiac is right, we’re in for a record turnout. It found that 44 percent of GOP caucus-goers may be first-timers, and 38 percent of Democrats may be attending their first presidential caucus. If true, those numbers spell smiles for Trump and Sanders.

Most Popular

Film & TV

In Unsane, Aetna Meets Kafka

Unsane doesn’t take the form of a horror film; at first, it appears to be a Hitchcockian thriller about mistaken identity or perhaps getting ensnared in a web of bureaucracy. Yet with clinical detachment it develops into a nerve-flaying story almost too agonizing to endure. Unlike most horror movies, it isn’t ... Read More

Viva l’Italia?

Italy has just had elections, with very interesting results. I wanted to talk with Alberto Mingardi, which I have. He is one of the leading classical liberals in Italy -- the director general of the Bruno Leoni Institute, in Milan. (Mingardi himself is Milanese.) He is also an authority in arts and letters. In ... Read More

Putin and the Cult of Leadership

On Sunday, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin won an unsurprising reelection-campaign victory against Communist Party candidate Pavel Grudinin, by a margin of 76.7 percent to 11.8 percent. The results were unsurprising because Putin is a tyrant who murders or imprisons political rivals, and who isn’t afraid to use ... Read More

Trump and Brexit Derangement Syndrome

I am not one of those Brexiteers who believe that Brexit and Trumpism are essentially the same phenomenon in two different countries. To be sure, they both draw on some of the same political trends, notably a distrust of elites and an upsurge of popular anger over evident failures of public policy such as illegal ... Read More

Stand Up to Putin

President Putin’s landslide victory in Russia’s presidential election was achieved against the lackluster competition of a group of mediocre candidates from which the sole serious opponent had been excluded; amid plausible allegations that his security services had tried to poison two Russians in England by ... Read More