The Corner

I Love The Skepticism

evident in this e-mail:”I just heard a report on ABC radio in NYC at the 5pm newsbreak in which the announcer said that although the race remains tight, it has appeared over the last few weeks to be breaking Bush’s way. I find that hard to believe for at least two reasons, (a) I’ve seen no evidence that the race is breaking Bush’s way (see, e.g., NR’s cite in For the Record, latest edition, to Hotline poll showing Kerry ahead in states w/ 285 electoral votes (w/ 270 needed to win)); and (b) even if I believed the race was breaking in Bush’s direction, I don’t believe ABC would report that fact (they’d say something like, “too close to call”; “within the margin of error”; “the Nader factor”; etc.). So my question: what are we getting set up for here? Is it possible there’s a strategy to talk Kerry down before the convention so the likely bounce looks better? That would seem like a dumb strategy to me, but I must say I am baffled by the ABC report. (I realize the sad thing about all this is that the best reason for the report would be that ABC thinks it is true — the one possibility I have dismissed out of hand.)”

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