In his Corner post on Kari Lake, Dan McLaughlin notes that “Lake did well among Hispanics, winning 47 percent of their vote, but carried white voters by only 50 to 49, a paltry margin for a Republican, due largely to a seven-point deficit among white women and a whopping 17-point deficit among white voters with college degrees.” In other words, she fell short with demographics that usually play an instrumental role in successful Republican campaigns while making a surprisingly strong showing with voters the party wants to attract.
https://twitter.com/njhochman/status/1592254467390726145
From the available exit-poll data we have on the other statewide races in Arizona, Lake ran far ahead of other Republicans with Hispanics: In Arizona’s race for U.S. Senate, Blake Masters ran 18 points behind Democratic incumbent Mark Kelly with the demographic, 40 to 58 percent. In the race for Arizona secretary of state, Republican Mark Finchem ran 16 points behind Adrian Fontes, 42 to 58. Lake, as Dan notes, ran just four points behind Katie Hobbs, winning 47 percent of the Hispanic vote to the Democrat’s 51.
There were many problems with Lake’s approach to the governor’s race. But amid the ongoing discussion of a Hispanic “realignment” toward the GOP — a realignment that, last week, did not materialize in many of the places where Republicans had hoped it would — an analysis of Lake’s strong showing could help the party court a voter bloc that would expand their coalition.