The Corner

Elections

Kathy Hochul’s Underdog Story

New York Governor Kathy Hochul speaks to attendees while they take part in the New York Democrats for Election Night Watch Party in New York, June 28, 2022. (Eduardo Munoz/Reuters)

New York governor Kathy Hochul professed to be “the underdog” when asked if she has any regrets about how she has run her campaign to retain her position.

FiveThirtyEight‘s polling average of her race shows she has almost a seven-point lead over her Republican challenger, Lee Zeldin, while RealClearPolitics‘s average pegs it as closer to six. Four months ago, she held 18- and 19-point leads, according to the two aggregators.

The last time New York favored a Republican president was 1984, and Joe Biden won the state by 23 points just two years ago. Andrew Cuomo — the Democrat who preceded Hochul and resigned in disgrace after several women accused him of sexual misconduct — won his last election by almost 25 points. Cuomo ascended to the top job after the incumbent Democratic governor, David Paterson, declined to run for another term as a result of various scandals of his own. Paterson moved into the governor’s mansion after Democrat Eliot Spitzer resigned after he was found to have blown tens of thousands of dollars on prostitutes.

At no point in this vicious cycle did it occur to New Yorkers — who last elected a Republican governor in 2002 (pro-choice George Pataki) — to consider the opposition party.

Kathy Hochul’s an underdog the way the University of Alabama football team was when it faced Utah State earlier this year — only she might lose.

Isaac Schorr is a staff writer at Mediaite and a 2023–2024 Robert Novak Journalism Fellow at the Fund for American Studies.
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