The only hard-and-fast rule we ever had at the Evans-Novak Political Report was never to predict a loss for Rep. Heather Wilson (R-N.M.). As I watched Republican fortunes fade in October 2006, I did it anyway — and I got burned.
Wilson and Rep. Steve Pearce (R) are battling it out in New Mexico in what is the only truly competitive GOP Senate primary of the year. Both hope to replace Sen. Pete Domenici (R), but either would face an uphill climb in preserving the seat for the GOP. Early voting started this week. Pearce is the conservative candidate, Wilson is decidedly more moderate, although not a liberal.