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So it looks pretty clear that President Bush is going to endorse the Federal Marriage Amendment. When, nobody is quite sure. Which version, we have a better sense of. It will be the two-sentence amendment that Rep. Marilyn Musgrave has introduced and the Alliance for Marriage has championed. The amendment will ban gay marriage, whether instituted by courts or legislatures, and will ban the judicial imposition of civil unions but allow legislatures to institute them. Many conservative groups, notably the Home School Legal Defense Fund and Concerned Women for America, seem to have switched back to the position that civil unions should not be even an option for legislatures. They think their proposed amendment text would ban civil unions; I have my doubts. I’m more certain that they are not going to get their way.

Ramesh Ponnuru is a senior editor for National Review, a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a senior fellow at the National Review Institute.

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