The Corner

Maybe Pew Is Always Skewed

Blogger Paul Brewer offers a useful clarification of my earlier post about the new Pew poll, in which I noted that its results were skewed because it featured a Republican sample of only 27 percent. He points out that in previous recent Pew polls, the number of respondents who claim to be Republicans has never been higher than 30 percent. How, therefore, could I say the sample was skewed? Well, in the first place, polls on political fallout are meaningless unless they measure Americans who say they vote, which this one did not — and the results show it, since the common finding in polling around the November election last year was that self-identified Republicans made up 37 percent of the electorate. In the second place, Pew says it deliberately oversampled blacks — who vote Democratic by a margin of 9 to 1 — in order to get a large enough number of them to measure their attitudes. Even though Pew says it then harmonized its data with census data, once again, the results are politically meaningless because it mixes the 60 percent of Americans who did vote last year with the 40 percent who didn’t (and presumably, never will, since 2004 had the highest turnout numbers in recent history). Pew’s data are consistent only with Pew’s previous data, not with the truth about the political damage done to the president.

Most Popular

Film & TV

A Sad Finale

Spoilers Ahead. Look, I share David’s love of Game of Thrones. But I thought the finale was largely a bust, for failings David mostly acknowledges in passing (but does not allow to dampen his ardor). The problems with the finale were largely the problems of this entire season. Characters that had been ... Read More
Politics & Policy

The Great Misdirection

The House Democrats are frustrated, very frustrated. They’ve gotten themselves entangled in procedural disputes with the Trump administration that no one particularly cares about and that might be litigated for a very long time. A Washington Post report over the weekend spelled out how stymied Democrats ... Read More

Australia’s Voters Reject Leftist Ideas

Hell hath no fury greater than left-wingers who lose an election in a surprise upset. Think Brexit in 2016. Think Trump’s victory the same year. Now add Australia. Conservative prime minister Scott Morrison shocked pollsters and pundits alike with his victory on Saturday, and the reaction has been brutal ... Read More
NR Webathon

We’ve Had Bill Barr’s Back

One of the more dismaying features of the national political debate lately is how casually and cynically Attorney General Bill Barr has been smeared. He is routinely compared to Roy Cohn on a cable-TV program that prides itself on assembling the most thoughtful and plugged-in political analysts and ... Read More
Film & TV

Game of Thrones: A Father’s Legacy Endures

Warning! If you don't want to read any spoilers from last night's series finale of Game of Thrones, stop reading. Right now. There is a lot to unpack about the Thrones finale, and I fully understand many of the criticisms I read on Twitter and elsewhere. Yes, the show was compressed. Yes, there were moments ... Read More