This is more like the bounce Obama would need to show at the end of his primary race to keep his supporters from having a heart attack. He’d be in very serious trouble if he and McCain were tied today. These new polls seem to suggest they’re not.
Meanwhile, an interesting comparison of polls from today and June of 2004 in the Washington Post. With Bush job approval far lower (of course) than it was in 04, right track/wrong track numbers far worse, support for the war far lower, etc., we nonetheless find this:
If the presidential election were being held today, for whom would you vote:
June 2004: Bush 42, Kerry 48
June 2008: McCain 42, Obama 48
The more things change…