The Corner

New Numbers in North Carolina

The John Locke Foundation just released our biannual Agenda poll for this year. The Agenda 2004 poll found Bush leading Kerry by eight points in North Carolina (48 percent to 40 percent), Richard Burr (43 percent) and Erskine Bowles (42 percent) neck-and-neck for U.S. Senate, and Democratic Gov. Mike Easley (49 percent) with a significant edge over Republican nominee Patrick Ballantine (34 percent). Another interesting bit from the poll is that we found the largest percentage of likely voters saying they are “extremely” likely to vote (it is part of our likely-voter screen) that we have ever found, at 85 percent. It usually stays around 65 to 70 percent in presidential years and 50 to 55 percent in non-presidential years.

John Hood — Hood is president of the John William Pope Foundation, a North Carolina grantmaker. His latest book is a novel, Forest Folk (Defiance Press, 2022).
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