Obviously very, very premature for the whole “California is in play” thing. That probably won’t happen. I mean that would be like Anthony Weiner and Chuck Schumer’s district going to a conservative Republican.
Still, this probably will affect his national polls and his fundraising — if it lasts. From National Journal:
If there was any question about the breadth and magnitude of the plunge in President Obama’s job-approval rating this summer, consider this new data point: For the first time, fewer than half of voters in deep-blue California approve of the job Obama is doing, according to a new Field Poll released early Wednesday.
Just 46 percent of voters approve of the job Obama is doing, while 44 percent disapprove. That is eight points lower than the previous Field Poll, conducted in June.
Obama has lost ground among all groups. His approval rating is 10 points lower among Democrats, 2 points lower among Republicans, and a whopping 13 points lower among independents, down to 45 percent among that key group.
Obama has lost 10 percent of men and 6 percent of women. His approval rating is nine points lower among white voters and three points down among Hispanics. It dropped 6 points among voters aged 18-29, 10 points among voters in their 30s, 7 points among voters in their 40s, 8 points among voters aged 50-64, and 10 points among voters over 65.
California voters are increasingly pessimistic about the direction of the country. Just 21 percent of voters — and 16 percent of independents — think the country is on the right track.