The Corner

Obama’s Red State Blues

President Obama has been bleeding moderates and independents almost since taking office. But PPP, using several polls, shows that that trend is structured in a way that has real electoral consequences in 2010 and beyond. Namely, President Obama’s approval rating is in negative territory in all nine states that voted Bush in 2004 and Obama in 2008. Note that Obama is in the worst trouble in Indiana, which could be the Democrats’ bellwether in the midterms.

Here is how it breaks down:

-In Colorado a recent Rasmussen poll found his approval at 45/53. Research 2000 found his favorability at 46/47 in January.

-In Florida Rasmussen found his approval at 45/54 and Quinnipiac’s latest found it at 45/49.

-In Indiana Rasmussen has his approval at 44/54 and Research 2000 finds his favorability at 46/49.

-In Iowa Rasmussen has him at 45/54, and the latest Des Moines Register poll put his approval at 46%, though I can’t find the disapproval number anywhere.

-In Nevada Rasmussen finds his approval at 46/54. We found 44/52 in in January.

-In New Mexico we found his approval last week at 45/48.

-In North Carolina our last poll put him at 45/51.

-In Ohio Quinnipiac’s last poll put him at 44/52.

-In Virginia Rasmussen’s latest has him a 48/51. SurveyUSA last had him at 44/54, and we put him at 42/52.


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