The Corner

One of My Main Reasons For Optimism

If it is true that Bush has doubled his support among blacks, that spells terrible news for Kerry. You have to figure that if Bush could actually swing 18% of the vote to him that means enthusiasm for Kerry has to be low. For every African-American who supports Bush there have to be two or three who are at least ambivalent about Kerry. It’s simply hard to imagine a broad political trend in which Bush’s support among blacks doubles, but the Democrats still manage to get the black voter-turnout they need.