The Corner

On The Other Hand

From another reader:

Jonah –

I tend to agree that at the end of the day, Bush probably won’t win

Michigan. But there are two other factors to consider: Ralph Nader is on

the ballot in Michigan; and, Michigan has a gay marriage initiative. Now I

assume that the Bush people know the internals better than we do, and

they’ll spend there if it’s really competitive. But if Kerry leads there by

as little as 2-3 points, then given the strength shown by the

anti-gay-marriage folks in Missouri and Louisiana, I’d wonder whether that

turnout, combined with Nader on the ballot, might not be enough to push Bush

over the top.

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