The Corner

Over the Cliff

I’ve been telling you for years that China — the big one, Red China — is not far behind Japan and South Korea on the way to the demographic cliff edge. Here is a related story from Bloomberg.

And no, it’s not really the one-child policy that’s driving the issue any more. East Asian young women just don’t seem much interested in childbearing. In urban regions, the one-child policy isn’t needed. They don’t even want to have the one. The joke I’ve heard from Chinese friends is that the one-child policy slogan  “Have one child!”  has been changed to  “Have one child . . . please!

Current TFRs from the CIA World Factbook are as follows.

Japan:   1.21

South Korea:   1.21

China:   1.79

Taiwan:   1.14

Hong Kong:   1.02

Macau:   0.91

Singapore:   1.09

U.S.A.:   2.05

I’d even take that published Chinese figure — which squinches China in between Norway (1.78) and Iceland (1.9) — with a grain of monosodium glutamate. Nobody really knows how reliable Chinese statistics are. The number could be higher or lower. On anecdotal evidence, I’d bet it’s lower if anything.

Most Popular

Elections

Election 2020’s Endgame

Today on the menu: States are certifying their votes, and Trump's legal team is in turmoil. The 2020 Election Starts to Wind Down Michigan and Pennsylvania are set to certify their election results today, and Nevada is scheduled to do the same tomorrow. Saturday night, U.S. district judge Matthew W. ... Read More
Elections

Election 2020’s Endgame

Today on the menu: States are certifying their votes, and Trump's legal team is in turmoil. The 2020 Election Starts to Wind Down Michigan and Pennsylvania are set to certify their election results today, and Nevada is scheduled to do the same tomorrow. Saturday night, U.S. district judge Matthew W. ... Read More
Elections

Trump’s Disgraceful Gambit

The Rudy Giuliani–led press conference at the RNC yesterday was the most outlandish and irresponsible performance ever by a group of lawyers representing a president of the United States. If Giuliani’s charge of a “national conspiracy” to produce fraudulent votes in Democratic cities around the country ... Read More
Elections

Trump’s Disgraceful Gambit

The Rudy Giuliani–led press conference at the RNC yesterday was the most outlandish and irresponsible performance ever by a group of lawyers representing a president of the United States. If Giuliani’s charge of a “national conspiracy” to produce fraudulent votes in Democratic cities around the country ... Read More
Elections

System over Policy, Nation over Faction

One of the more insidious things about President Trump is the way he acts as a kind of gravitational distortion in our political-moral space. His combination of self-serving unscrupulousness and weaponized charisma adds ethical weight to the decisions of more ordinary politicians and pundits. Political ... Read More
Elections

System over Policy, Nation over Faction

One of the more insidious things about President Trump is the way he acts as a kind of gravitational distortion in our political-moral space. His combination of self-serving unscrupulousness and weaponized charisma adds ethical weight to the decisions of more ordinary politicians and pundits. Political ... Read More