Three new polls on Florida Senate–two have it tied between Republican Mel Martinez and Democrat Betty Castor, and one shows Mel up by two points. A prediction: President Bush will carry Florida by enough of a margin that Democratic complaints about “voter intimidation” and ballot problems don’t wash. But this Senate race may be closer. I’ve been tipping it for Martinez all year long, and continue to think he’ll prevail. But it will be closecloseclose. And the Dems will complain, complain, complain.