The Corner

Poll: Walker Leads Wisconsin Recall by Seven Points

According to a poll released today by Marquette University, Wisconsin governor Scott Walker leads challenger Tom Barrett 52 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in next week’s much-anticipated recall election. Among independent voters, Walker leads by a 45 percent to 31 percent margin.

According to pollster Charles Franklin, since April there have been 16 gubernatorial recall polls taken; yet none have shown Barrett in the lead. (Although one just released today by a liberal group showed the race tied.) The poll has Walker’s favorability rating at 51 percent favorable to 45 percent unfavorable, with Walker’s job-approval numbers virtually identical.

Recently, Barrett has taken a more aggressive posture, accusing Walker of hiding potential criminal wrongdoing; yet it appears this new negative approach may be costing Barrett votes — his favorability rating has sunk to 41 percent favorable, 46 percent unfavorable. Among independent voters, Barrett is mired at 25 percent favorable, 45 percent unfavorable. (Among Republicans, Walker has a 90 percent favorability rating; among Democrats, Barrett’s favorability is only 70 percent.)

In the same poll, Wisconsin voters favored President Barack Obama over Mitt Romney by a 51 percent to 43 percent margin; surely this is bad news for Barrett, who can’t argue that the poll is somehow biased towards Republicans.

The poll demonstrates widespread support for Walker’s policies. For instance:

  • 55 percent approve of limiting collective bargaining for most public employees, as opposed to 41 percent who disapprove.

  • 75 percent support requiring government employees to pay towards their own pensions and pay more for health insurance.

  • 60 percent say they like what Walker has done as governor, although 21 percent disagree with the way he accomplished it.

  • 61 percent support requiring photo identification to vote, while 37 percent oppose.

The poll shows that among likely voters, Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Kleefisch leads her Democratic opponent, firefighter Mahlon Mitchell, by a 46 percent to 41 percent margin.

The election will be held on June 5.

— Christian Schneider is a senior fellow at the Wisconsin Policy Research Institute and a columnist for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.

Most Popular

Politics & Policy

The Great Misdirection

The House Democrats are frustrated, very frustrated. They’ve gotten themselves entangled in procedural disputes with the Trump administration that no one particularly cares about and that might be litigated for a very long time. A Washington Post report over the weekend spelled out how stymied Democrats ... Read More
World

Australia’s Voters Reject Leftist Ideas

Hell hath no fury greater than left-wingers who lose an election in a surprise upset. Think Brexit in 2016. Think Trump’s victory the same year. Now add Australia. Conservative prime minister Scott Morrison shocked pollsters and pundits alike with his victory on Saturday, and the reaction has been brutal ... Read More
NR Webathon

We’ve Had Bill Barr’s Back

One of the more dismaying features of the national political debate lately is how casually and cynically Attorney General Bill Barr has been smeared. He is routinely compared to Roy Cohn on a cable-TV program that prides itself on assembling the most thoughtful and plugged-in political analysts and ... Read More
Film & TV

Game of Thrones: A Father’s Legacy Endures

Warning! If you don't want to read any spoilers from last night's series finale of Game of Thrones, stop reading. Right now. There is a lot to unpack about the Thrones finale, and I fully understand many of the criticisms I read on Twitter and elsewhere. Yes, the show was compressed. Yes, there were moments ... Read More
Immigration

The Merit of Merit-Based Immigration

Having chain-migrated his way into the White House and a little bit of political power, Donald Trump’s son-in-law is shopping around an immigration plan. And if you can get past the hilarious juxtaposition of the words “merit-based” and “Jared Kushner,” it’s a pretty good one. As things stand, the ... Read More