Republican Barbara Comstock is definitely leading the race for an empty seat in Virginia’s tenth congressional district: She’s up by double digits according to a Republican poll, while she’s up by two points in a poll commissioned by a Democratic group.
The Republican-commissioned survey found Comstock leading her Democratic opponent, John Foust, by twelve points among likely voters, 46–34. (The margin of error is 4.9 percent.) In the Democratic poll, she’s up 41–39.
The race is one of the more competitive House races this year: Longtime Republican congressman Frank Wolf is retiring from the district’s seat, and it leans Republican, but both parties have poured millions into the contest. The Republican poll, conducted by the Tarrance Group and first reported by Politico, found that both candidates have positive favorability ratings in the district, but that Comstock is much better known.
This week, National Review endorsed Comstock, whose four years as a member of Virginia’s state house, following a career as a lawyer and a staffer at the Department of Justice and the House Oversight Committee.