The Corner

Re: 65-50

The news that the three top Democrats have outraised the three top Republicans by a total of $15 million is very significant. It indicates that those inclined to give to Democrats are opening their wallets bigtime while Republican donors are profoundly wary. It’s an indication of an intensity gap between committed Dems and committed Republicans. This can change — after all, these are only numbers for the first quarter of 2006. An exciting race on the GOP side could cause a lot of money to shake free in the fall and winter, when it will be most needed. But this is yet another data point to suggest there has been a GOP meltdown since 2004 and only a really vibrant GOP campaign leading to a very formidable and stimulating nominee can turn things around.

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Elections

The State of the Race for the House

Way back in January, I went through the then-34 seats where a Republican incumbent was retiring and concluded that most were in deeply red districts and not likely to flip to Democrats. Pollsters and media organizations are less inclined to conduct surveys of House races, both because there’s less public ... Read More