I posted a couple of days ago on that UCL report claiming to show that optimism is a mental aberration.
Randall Parker over at ParaPundit comments:
Human brains have assorted biases built into how they work that limit their ability to understand the world accurately. This is about more than just intelligence. However, I suspect genetic outliers exist who have fewer biases. If the outliers also have sufficient intelligence they make good stock market traders and good scientists.
Good presidents, too, I was thinking as I read the reports on last night’s debate.
Even more incidentally, a reader reminds me of the old engineer joke:
Optimist : This glass is half full.
Pessimist : This glass is half empty.
Engineer : This glass is twice as big as it needs to be.