I really think there is no serious public consideration of GOP ‘08 right now. The 30-30 split reflects that Rudy and McCain are the best known names, that’s all. Only lunatics like us are jockeying now. What was the name Bill Clinton polling in 1990?
What the election will be about probably hasn’t even happened yet. If there is another terrorist attack, Rudy could go from 30 to 50 overnight. And even with a terrorist attack, his fortunes might be much different depending on whether the attack happened tomorrow or a year from tomorrow.