The first column of numbers below contains the percentage of votes received by Obama in 2008 from the respective groups. The second column contains Obama’s current support from registered voters according to Gallup’s most recent three-week rolling average (August 27–September 16). Keep in mind that registered voter polls often over-predict Democrat support.
Men 49 – 44
Women 53 – 52
18-29 66 – 59
East 59 – 57
Midwest 54 – 49
South 45 – 42
West 57 – 48
White 43 – 40
Black 95 – 89
Hispanic 67 – 66
Dem. 89 – 92
Rep. 9 – 5
Ind. 52 – 43
Republicans presently have a three-point edge in voter enthusiasm. In addition, Rasmussen’s most recent party-identification poll gives Republicans a 4.3 percentage point advantage. At the same point in the 2008 election cycle Democrats enjoyed a 5.7 percentage point advantage
Obama beat McCain by 7.2 points.
Make of the above what you will.