A new FiveThirtyEight polling roundup reveals that the drop in Moore’s support immediately after allegations emerged of molestation and improper relationships by the former judge was not a one-off.
He has seen a steady decline in support since, moving from a large lead before the allegations to dead heat just after to clearly falling behind his opponents in the most recent polls, which average 47 percent for Jones and 43.5 percent for Moore.
It is possible that Moore will rally his base in the remaining weeks before December 12’s special election, but the decline could well continue, especially if additional allegations emerge. If all Moore is left with is the handful of his supporters who outright celebrate the acts he is accused of, it is hard to imagine him being able to carry off a victory.