The Corner

Politics & Policy

The Republican Party Bets It All on Trump.

Yes, Donald Trump was tied with Hillary the national CBS/New York Times poll yesterday, but this morning NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist showed a slew of bad numbers in swing states:

In Colorado, Clinton gets support from 39 percent of registered voters, Trump gets 33 percent, Johnson gets 13 percent and Stein gets 4 percent.

In Florida, it’s Clinton 41 percent, Trump 36 percent, Johnson 7 percent and Stein 4 percent.

In North Carolina, it’s Clinton 42 percent, Trump 36 percent, Johnson 7 percent and Stein 2 percent.

And in Virginia, it’s Clinton 41 percent, Trump 34 percent, Johnson 10 percent and Stein 2 percent.

Grasp that: in a four-way race, Trump isn’t cracking 37 percent in these places.

If Trump loses “bigly” in November, we know who to blame: the Republican primary electorate, who picked a candidate who struggles against the deeply flawed  Clinton, and the Republican National Convention Rules Committee, who torpedoed any discussion of replacing Trump. Our Tim Alberta – who’s an absolute must-read, must-follow-on-Twitter reporter – laid it out in depressing detail.

An earlier NBC poll from early July showed Clinton losing head-to-head to John Kasich and Paul Ryan. She’s weak – barely hitting 40 percent in those polls – but just enough to beat Trump.

Maybe between now and November, the state of the country and the state of the world will get so indisputably awful that the American electorate will overlook Trump’s flaws and take a chance on him rather than continue the status quo with Hillary Clinton. But if not, this will rank as the most obviously preventable Republican defeat in memory.

Most Popular

Energy & Environment

The Climate Trap for Democrats

The more the climate debate changes, the more it stays the same. Polls show that the public is worried about climate change, but that doesn’t mean that it is any more ready to bear any burden or pay any price to combat it. If President Donald Trump claws his way to victory again in Pennsylvania and the ... Read More
Elections

Kamala Harris Runs for Queen

I’m going to let you in on a secret about the 2020 presidential contest: Unless unforeseen circumstances lead to a true wave election, the legislative stakes will be extremely low. The odds are heavily stacked against Democrats’ retaking the Senate, and that means that even if a Democrat wins the White House, ... Read More
Culture

What We’ve Learned about Jussie Smollett

It’s been a few weeks since March 26, when all charges against Jussie Smollett were dropped and the actor declared that his version of events had been proven correct. How’s that going? Smollett’s celebrity defenders have gone quiet. His publicists and lawyers are dodging reporters. The @StandwithJussie ... Read More
Politics & Policy

But Why Is Guatemala Hungry?

I really, really don’t want to be on the “Nicolas Kristof Wrote Something Dumb” beat, but, Jiminy Cricket! Kristof has taken a trip to Guatemala, with a young woman from Arizona State University in tow. “My annual win-a-trip journey,” he writes. Reporting from Guatemala, he discovers that many ... Read More