Friends have written to me taking issue with my criticism of Secretary Rice’s Iran speech, and an Atlanta-Journal Constitution editorialist lambasted me as a “naive intellectual” because I could not see the wisdom of the U.S. about-face. Many diplomats, journalists, and academics continue to backslap each other. If I’m wrong, I’ll eat crow. But, I’m not going to drink this Kool aid: The deal is less than meets the eye. Red lines only mean something when diplomats are prepared to take a stand to defend them. Russia has already ruled that out. More worrisome is the Iranian reaction. Bill Samii—perhaps the best and, consistently, most accurate Iran analyst in the United States—has just released an analysis showing that the Iranian government is accelerating its domestic crackdown. This crackdown shouldn’t surprise. In the past few weeks, the Libyans, Egyptians, Tunisians, and now Iranians have all reverted to their worst oppression in years. Realists may say we have other interests, but letting regimes get away with murder shouldn’t be one.
Just imagine if something like this happened during the Trump administration, and ask yourself what the media-Democrat complex would be saying. In November 2011, an elite group of Chinese Communist Party members and billionaire cronies of the repressive regime in Beijing secured a meeting in the White House, ... Read More
The polling aggregator on the website RealClearPolitics shows the margin in polls led by Joe Biden in a blue font and the ones led by Donald Trump in red. For a while, the battleground states have tended to be uniformly blue, except for polls conducted by the Trafalgar Group. If you are a firm believer only in ... Read More
Assume, for a moment, that Trafalgar’s Robert Cahaly is correct that pollsters are still missing groups of Trump voters, because passionate Trump foes are the kind of people who are most eager to talk about the phone about politics for 20 to 30 minutes. Assume this phenomenon means that the final vote count ... Read More
Joe Biden is the most cosseted presidential candidate in memory. He’s run a minimalist campaign that’s avoided the press as much as possible, while the press hasn’t been braying for more access and answers, but eager to avoid anything that could be discomfiting to the campaign. Never before have the ... Read More
Oh, Jeffrey Toobin — let him among us with a free hand cast the first stone. Toobin, a writer for The New Yorker and fixture on CNN, was participating in a role-playing exercise on a Zoom call with his magazine colleagues, wargaming election-night scenarios. Toobin was standing in for the courts when he ... Read More