I’m still a skeptic about Huckabee’s chances of winning the nomination, but the CW I keep hearing–that New Hampshire is much more secular than Iowa, and therefore Huckabee won’t do well there–seems to me very questionable. I know New Hampshire has changed a lot since 1996, but I heard the same bit about “secular New Hampshire” back then. The winner of the primary was nonetheless the loudest culture warrior in the field, Pat Buchanan. He won because strong pro-lifers overwhelmingly supported him, and in a divided field they were enough. I’m not by the 1996 cross-tabs–I’m not sure I still have them in my files even if I were at the office–but I’m sure that many of those strong pro-lifers were evangelicals, who exist even in secular New Hampshire.