Over at Ballotpedia, Joseph Kastner has launched a dedicated “racetracking” page to follow the 30 state attorneys-general contests up this November. The handicapping has eight seats as toss-ups with plenty of other in-play “likelies” and “leans.”
Toss ups: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Oklahoma.
Likely Ds: Connecticut, Illinois, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, and Vermont.
Likely Rs: North Dakota, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, and Wisconsin.
Lean Ds: California, Iowa, and Minnesota.
Lean Rs: Alabama Safe Ds: Arkansas, Delaware, Maryland, and Massachusetts.
Safe Rs: Idaho and Nebraska.
Currently Democrats hold 20 of the 30 AG posts, but an e-mailing friend writes of Balllotpedia’s analysis: “16 elections are in the toss-up to Safe-R category, versus the ten seats currently held by Rs, so, as with so much else this year, it’s possible that AG seats will also exemplify the get-rid-of-incumbents spirit of the year. AG stands for ‘Almost Governor’ . . . and therefore who gets elected this year, and what party they’re from, is important for what happens down the road.”