. . . and read this long, fascinating, and at times profound thread on why Putin’s military is having such trouble in Ukraine.
(I don’t know enough to say whether it is correct, but it’s one of the most interesting things I’ve read on this war.)
Why Russia will lose this war?
Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is?
I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russian strategy & political goals🧵 pic.twitter.com/pXpfIcq3Zs
— Kamil Galeev (@kamilkazani) February 27, 2022