Maybe something will shake loose, but the very worst case — if you don’t want to see Trump win the nomination — would have to be Trump leading by a ton, alternatives way back, and different alternatives, namely DeSantis and Haley, holding down second place in Iowa and New Hampshire.
But here we are.
Iowa:
📊 2024 Iowa Republican Caucus
Trump 50% (+31)
DeSantis 19%
Haley 11%
Scott 6%
Ramaswamy 5%
Christie 2%
Pence 2%
Burgum 2%
—
H2H:
Trump 58% (+23)
DeSantis 35%• Commissioned by pro-DeSantis PAC
• @POStrategies | 400 LV | 9/28-10/01https://t.co/koj9tqEKeC pic.twitter.com/eCkRbyxeVI— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 2, 2023
New Hampshire:
📊 2024 New Hampshire GOP Primary
• Trump — 49% (+30)
• Haley — 19%
• DeSantis — 10%
• Christie — 6%
• Scott — 4%
• Ramaswamy — 4%
• Burgum — 1%
• Pence — 1%USA Today/Suffolk (A) | 500 LV | 9/28-10/2https://t.co/N4cJmJYIWo pic.twitter.com/GtbSchPgw7
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 4, 2023