The Corner

Tradesports Update

I haven’t been as big a believer in Tradesports this year as in 2004, because the numbers seem to have bounced around more than they did then (when they were pretty good until the last day, when the exit polls threw them). Anyway, as of now, the market is betting on a 5-10 seat Democratic majority in the House. In the Senate, it’s predicting losses for Santorum, DeWine, Talent, Allen, Chafee, Burns, Kean, and Steele, but a win for Corker. Somehow, though, the market is also predicting a Republican Senate. Either I’m missing something–wouldn’t be the first time–or it’s behaving screwily.

Ramesh Ponnuru is a senior editor for National Review, a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a senior fellow at the National Review Institute.

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