The Corner

Elections

Trafalgar Poll Shows Slim Leads for Trump and John James in Michigan

The Trafalgar Group grabbed attention this weekend when it released a poll showing Donald Trump leading Joe Biden 46.6 percent to 45.2 percent in Michigan and GOP Senate candidate John James leading Democratic senator Gary Peters 48.1 percent to 46.6 percent

The firm, which has a history of working for Republican clients as well as private businesses, gained fame for being the only pollster showing Trump with narrow leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan on the eve of the 2016 election. In 2018, Trafalgar’s final poll of Michigan showed John James trailing Democratic senator Debbie Stabenow by nine points; James lost that race by six points.

In an interview on Monday, Trafalgar’s president Robert Cahaly told National Review he believes his surveys are picking up “hidden voters” that other pollsters are missing.

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U.S.

The Coming Anti-COVID Restriction Backlash

The backlash is coming. It already seems clear that the first major political and cultural eruption of the Biden years will be a roiling populist backlash against the next round of COVID restrictions. We saw this sentiment play out in sporadic anti-lockdown demonstrations last spring, and it has driven ... Read More
U.S.

The Coming Anti-COVID Restriction Backlash

The backlash is coming. It already seems clear that the first major political and cultural eruption of the Biden years will be a roiling populist backlash against the next round of COVID restrictions. We saw this sentiment play out in sporadic anti-lockdown demonstrations last spring, and it has driven ... Read More
Elections

Election 2020’s Endgame

Today on the menu: States are certifying their votes, and Trump's legal team is in turmoil. The 2020 Election Starts to Wind Down Michigan and Pennsylvania are set to certify their election results today, and Nevada is scheduled to do the same tomorrow. Saturday night, U.S. district judge Matthew W. ... Read More
Elections

Election 2020’s Endgame

Today on the menu: States are certifying their votes, and Trump's legal team is in turmoil. The 2020 Election Starts to Wind Down Michigan and Pennsylvania are set to certify their election results today, and Nevada is scheduled to do the same tomorrow. Saturday night, U.S. district judge Matthew W. ... Read More