The Corner


Trump Has Closed Gaps This Big Before

Yesterday I noted that if Trump’s numbers in every state rose by 6.6 percentage points, they would show him with an electoral majority.

Trump’s numbers as president have been famously stable, but it’s also worth pointing out that various polls about him have shifted that much in less time than this race has left. In 2016, Clinton’s lead over Trump shrank that much (or a little more than that much) three times.

Ramesh Ponnuru is a senior editor for National Review, a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a senior fellow at the National Review Institute.


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