The Corner

Early Exits – Trump 30, Cruz 25.5, Rubio 23

The early exit poll, over 2000 respondents, has Trump up by 4.5 percent over Cruz and by 7 over Rubio. Bush, Kasich, and Carson are all in the single digits.

If the results bear this out, then expect Cruz to challenge for some delegates in CDs 4, 5, and 7, and Rubio to challenge in CD 1. But South Carolina is winner take all at all levels, so any statewide win will give Trump 29 delegates. The winner of each CD will get three delegates per district.

Henry OlsenMr. Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, an editor at UnHerd.com, and the author of The Working Class Republican: Ronald Reagan and the Return of Blue-Collar Conservatism.

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