Mark: I can’t let you (or USA Today) get away with talking about US fertility rates unless you are going to talk about the differential rates by sub-population.
Here are the actual numbers, from the National Center for Health Statistics.
| Year | Hispanic TFR | Non-Hisp. Black TFR | Non-Hisp. White TFR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2.960 | 2.548 | 1.851 |
| 1991 | 2.964 | 2.532 | 1.823 |
| 1992 | 2.958 | 2.483 | 1.804 |
| 1993 | 2.895 | 2.413 | 1.786 |
| 1994 | 2.839 | 2.315 | 1.783 |
| 1995 | 2.799 | 2.187 | 1.778 |
| 1996 | 2.772 | 2.140 | 1.781 |
| 1997 | 2.681 | 2.138 | 1.786 |
| 1998 | 2.653 | 2.164 | 1.825 |
| 1999 | 2.649 | 2.134 | 1.839 |
| 2000 | 2.730 | 2.179 | 1.866 |
| 2001 | 2.749 | 2.105 | 1.843 |
| 2002 | 2.718 | 2.047 | 1.829 |
| 2003 | 2.786 | 2.028 | 1.857 |
| 2004 | 2.825 | 2.020 | 1.847 |
| 2005 | 2.885 | 2.019 | 1.840 |
| 2006 | 2.959 | 2.115 | 1.864 |
A graph makes things easier. I’ve created one here. Do you like my graph, Mark?
