The Corner

What About New Mexico?

An email:

You said: “Colorado is the new Florida. The winner of that state is almost certainly going to win the election.”

Probably true- but keep your eye on NM.  McCain is ahead in 2 of the last 3 NM polls (including the only post-Palin NM poll), and altho he’s behind there by 2.3 in the RCP average (same spread as CO), that average includes an outlier poll showing Obama +13.  Even if Obama turns both IA and CO blue, if McCain wins NM he still wins the election 270-268.  Will be interesting to see more post-Palin polls from there.

Fair enough, but I suspect that if McCain wins New Mexico he will have won Colorado too.

Ramesh Ponnuru — Ramesh Ponnuru is a senior editor for National Review, a columnist for Bloomberg View, a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a senior fellow at the National Review Institute.

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