were going into a Republican president’s second midterm with majorities in both chambers of Congress. Then, as now, voters were reacting against corruption, an unpopular war and high gas prices. Republicans pointed to several positive indicators, including a low unemployment rate and a respectable level of economic growth. My friend Larry Kudlow, an economic commentator, called the boom “the greatest story never told,” a label he is using again this year.

Yet for most people, it didn’t feel like a boom: Their paychecks didn’t go as far as they had five years earlier. The president lost popularity, and Republicans lost the House and the Senate.