Jonathan Chait says that while Bush and Kerry are tied, it’s Kerry who has the momentum. That’s hard to argue with. I’m not sure that Democrats are as far ahead on voter registration as he thinks, or ahead at all. But in two respects, I think Chait may actually be selling the case that Kerry is winning short. He writes, “Kerry is highly gaffe-prone. Roughly once a week he utters a statement–global test, terrorism as a nuisance–that plays right into his opponent’s hands and forces him to explain himself. Any day, he could utter a gaffe big enough to change the dynamics of the campaign.” I’ve been a bit surprised that Kerry hasn’t made a gaffe that big all year. Also, Chait ignores one dog that won’t bark. Remember how much we heard in September about how the press would eventually boost Kerry just because it needed a new storyline? Somehow I don’t think that the Bush comeback is a storyline the press is going to find itself needing. P.S. I still think Bush wins the electoral vote.
In response to the emerging evidence that Donald Trump directed and participated in the commission of federal crimes, all too many Republicans are wrongly comforting themselves with political deflection and strained legal argument. The political deflection is clear, though a bit bizarre. The recent wave of news ... Read More
At the outset, let’s get two things straight: First, there is something deeply disturbing about the Obama administration’s decision to open a counterintelligence investigation on retired lieutenant general Michael Flynn while he was working on the Trump campaign — and, ultimately, about the Justice ... Read More
Her comments came after she caused an uproar. Read More
Better late than never (I hope), my weekend column has posted on the website. It deals with the question whether General Michael Flynn actually lied to the FBI agents — including the now infamous Peter Strzok — when they interviewed him in the White House on his third day on the job as national security ... Read More
Lanny Davis, Michael Cohen's lawyer-turned-adviser, vigorously denied the allegation that his former client traveled to Prague during the 2016 election to arrange a payment for Russian hackers intervening in the election on then-candidate Trump's behalf. The allegation that Cohen traveled to Prague is a key ... Read More
In the run-up to the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump was asked on many occasions whether he would “accept the results” of the election if he were to lose. Democrats and their media allies demanded that he make a solemn vow to “accept the results.” It was never entirely clear what anybody thought ... Read More