Critical Condition

Obamacare: Time to Pressure Wavering Representatives

President Obama has set a deadline of March 18 — just one week from now — for the House to vote on the Senate version of Obamacare.  The Washington Post’s Ezra Klein writes that “Progressives . . . are on the cusp of winning an incredibly important war,” by passing legislation that’s “deeply, deeply progressive” and which “represents an enormous leftward shift for American social policy” (italics in original). Klein’s optimism is more rooted in hope than in reality, as the sheer number of Democrats residing in clearly red districts (see below) demonstrates how unlikely it is that President Obama will get the votes he needs. But, like many others on the Left, his depiction of Obamacare is far more honest than the president’s presentation. 

 

Now is the crucial time for those who oppose Obamacare to make their voices heard — loud and clear. This is especially true if your representative is one of the 40 key Democratic members of Congress listed below (in alphabetical order by state). Call, e-mail, write, or even visit your representative; attend marches or rallies; and encourage your friends and family to do the same. It’s winnin’ time.

Key:

 

“S” = voted for the Stupak Amendment.  (According to Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius, the Senate bill would “take a big step forward from where the House left it with the Stupak Amendment” by substituting abortion language that “was negotiated by Senators Barbara Boxer and Patty Murray.”

 

“GOP +2” means that Republican presidential candidates have won in that district by an average of 2 percentage points over the past three elections; “Dem +5” means that Democratic presidential candidates have won by 5 points over that span. (Keep in mind that Democratic presidential candidates have won in Massachusetts by an average of 26 percentage points — so every member on this list represents a district that is at least 21 points more friendly to Republicans than is the case in Massachusetts.)

 

“Yes” on Obamacare Last Time but Might Want to Switch:

 

Gabrielle Giffords, (D., Ariz.) (GOP +6)

Ann Kirkpatrick, (D., Ariz.) (GOP +8)

Harry Mitchell, (D., Ariz.) (GOP +8)

Vic Snyder, (D., Ariz.) (S) (GOP +5)

Marion Berry, (D., Ark.) (S) (GOP +8)

John Salazar, (D., Colo.) (S) (GOP +10)

Melissa Bean, (D., Ill.) (GOP +4)

Bill Foster, (D., Ill.) (GOP +4)

Joe Donnelly, (D., Ind.) (S) (GOP +4)

Brad Ellsworth, (D., Ind.) (S) (GOP +14) — running for Sen. in Ind. (GOP +12)

Baron Hill, (D., Ind.) (S) (GOP +11)

Bart Stupak, (D., Mich.) (S) (GOP +4)

Michael Arcuri, (D., N.Y.) (GOP +1)

Tim Bishop, (D., N.Y.) (Dem +4)

Bob Etheridge, (D., N.C.) (S) (GOP +3)

Earl Pomeroy, (D., N.D.) (S) (GOP +21)

Steve Driehaus, (D., Ohio) (S) (Dem +1)

Zach Space, (D., Ohio) (S) (GOP +12)

Charlie Wilson, (D., Ohio) (S) (GOP +2)

Chris Carney, (D., Pa.) (S) (GOP +15)

Kathleen Dahlkemper, (D., Pa.) (S) (GOP +3)

John Spratt, (D., S.C.) (S) (GOP +11)

Ciro Rodriguez, (D., Texas) (S) (GOP +6)

Solomon Ortiz, (D., Texas) (S) (GOP +1)

Tom Perriello, (D., Va.) (S) (GOP +10)

Alan Mollohan, (D., W.Va.) (S) (GOP +14)

Nick Rahall, (D., W.Va.) (S) (GOP +6)

 

“No” on Obamacare Last Time but Might Need Encouragement:

 

Mike Ross, (D., Ark.) (S) (GOP +7)

Betsy Markey, (D., Colo.) (GOP +13)

Allen Boyd, (D., Fla.) (GOP +8)

Suzanne Kosmas, (D., Fla.) (GOP +6)

John Barrow, (D., Ga.) (S) (Dem +4)

John Adler, (D., N.J.) (Dem +5)

Michael McMahon, (D., N.Y.) (GOP +1)

Scott Murphy, (D., N.Y.) (GOP +4)

Larry Kissell, (D., N.C.) (GOP +4)

John Boccieri, (D., Ohio) (S) (GOP +7)

John Tanner, (D., Tenn.) (S) (GOP +5)

Glenn Nye, (D., Va.) (GOP +9)

Brian Baird, (D., Wash.) (Dem +1)

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