Critical Condition

Whip Count

From The Hill:

Undecided

Jason Altmire (Pa.) * Many view Altmire as key to passage. He said on Fox News he has “open mind.” Bottom line: Altmire’s yes vote is gettable

Brian Baird (Wash.) Retiring member who bucked party on Iraq war surge

Marion Berry (Ark.) * (Y) Has been critical of the president since announcing his retirement

John Boccieri (Ohio) * GOP target

Dennis Cardoza (Calif.) * (Y) Secured language for district before last year’s vote

Kathleen Dahlkemper (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target

Steve Driehaus (Ohio) * (Y) In tossup race in November

Bart Gordon (Tenn.) * Retiring committee chairman

Raul Grijalva (Ariz.) (Y) Despite many threats, Arizona liberal expected to vote yes

Marcy Kaptur (Ohio) * (Y) Voted with leadership first time around, but doesn’t toe the party line

Mary Jo Kilroy (Ohio) (Y) In tossup race this November

Ron Kind (Wis.) (Y) Represents competitive district

Daniel Lipinski (Ill.) * (Y) Will not vote for abortion language in Senate bill, but has other concerns as well

Dan Maffei (N.Y.) (Y) Former Ways and Means aide is seen as gettable

Betsy Markey (Colo.) Was a late no last time. In early March, Markey declined to be interviewed by Denver Post on her position on bill. Likely target for Democratic leaders

Jerry McNerney (Calif.) (Y) Waiting for final language

Dennis Moore (Kan.) (Y) Retiring this year

Scott Murphy (N.Y.) Reelection race looks good, for now

Jim Oberstar (Minn.) * (Y) Wants to vote yes, but also wants Stupak language

David Obey (Wis.) * (Y) Waiting to review bill language; likely yes

Solomon Ortiz (Texas) * (Y) Was a late yes last time around

Tom Perriello (Va.) * (Y) In tossup race this fall

Earl Pomeroy (N.D.) * (Y) Voted against bill in committee, and for it on the House floor last fall

Nick Rahall (W.Va.) * (Y) Another panel chairman on the fence

Tim Ryan (Ohio) * (Y) Opposes anti-abortion rights

John Spratt (S.C.) * (Y) Budget Committee chairman is in competitive reelection race

Bart Stupak (Mich.) * (Y) More optimistic about brokering a deal on abortion with House leaders

John Tanner (Tenn.) * House whip not running for reelection, but he will need to be convinced

Paul Tonko (N.Y.) (Y) Waiting for CBO numbers

* — Voted for Stupak amendment in November

(Y) — Voted yes in November

More here.

Robert Costa was formerly the Washington editor for National Review.
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