Magazine December 3, 2018, Issue

The Blue Wall

Female Democratic representatives-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell of Florida, Abby Finkenauer of Iowa, and Sharice Davids of Kansas (Reuters/Kevin Lamarque )
Will it stand for the Democrats in 2020?

Donald Trump is president because he broke the “blue wall” in the Rust Belt. But Democrats performed very well in most of those states in the midterms, raising expectations that they can retake the region and thereby deny Trump reelection. And a close read of the returns gives reason for hope and concern on both sides.

First, the reasons for Democratic hope and Republican concern: Democratic House candidates gained eight seats from Republicans in Rust Belt states that Trump had won in 2016. Seven of these seats were in the suburbs of Philadelphia, Des Moines, Pittsburgh, and Detroit. More tellingly, five

Henry OlsenMr. Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, an editor at UnHerd.com, and the author of The Working Class Republican: Ronald Reagan and the Return of Blue-Collar Conservatism.

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