Magazine September 21, 2020, Issue

Where the 2020 Presidential Election Stands

(Roman Genn)
A look at the known unknowns.

With the conventions over, the presidential race enters the fall home stretch. A few things are clear. Joe Biden enters the fall as the leader over Donald Trump in national and state-by-state polls. That lead has eroded markedly since the beginning of August. And this election will be unlike any in American history. By any reasonable estimate, Biden remains the favorite to win. There are as many things we don’t know, however, as things we do know. We must take stock of the known unknowns.

Begin with the polls. In the RealClearPolitics national poll average, Biden has led Trump head-to-head since

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This article appears as “Known Unknowns in 2020’s Stretch Run” in the September 21, 2020, print edition of National Review.

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